Thyroid cancer
Thyroid cancer is usually curable with surgery and radioactive iodine, the original theranostic. Rare aggressive forms respond to RET and BRAF inhibitors.
Overview
Thyroid cancer is really several diseases. Differentiated thyroid cancer (papillary ~85%, follicular, oncocytic) arises from follicular cells, retains iodine uptake, and has a 10-year survival above 95%; its incidence has tripled in many countries because ultrasound finds tiny tumours that would never have caused harm. Medullary thyroid cancer comes from calcitonin-producing C cells, is driven by RET mutations (hereditary in MEN2), and does not take up iodine. Anaplastic thyroid cancer is rare, dedifferentiated, and historically progressed within months; BRAF/MEK inhibition and immunotherapy have started to change that.
Differentiated disease is treated by surgery, with radioactive iodine (the first theranostic, 1946) reserved for intermediate and high-risk patients after HiLo, ESTIMABL2, and IoN showed low-risk patients gain nothing from it; active surveillance is accepted for microcarcinomas, and lobectomy suffices for many. When cancer becomes radioiodine-refractory, lenvatinib (SELECT) and sorafenib (DECISION) extend progression-free survival, and genotype directs selective therapy: selpercatinib for RET fusions, larotrectinib for NTRK, dabrafenib-trametinib for BRAF. Medullary cancer moved from vandetanib and cabozantinib to RET-selective selpercatinib after LIBRETTO-531 (2023). Anaplastic cancer with BRAF V600E responds to dabrafenib-trametinib (ROAR), often enabling surgery, and triplets with pembrolizumab are producing multi-year survivors.
The field's biggest problems are the opposite of most cancers': over-detection and over-treatment of indolent disease, alongside the unsolved lethality of anaplastic and RAI-refractory disease, resistance to RET inhibitors (solvent-front mutations), and the toxicity of long-term multikinase therapy.
State of the art
- Genotype-directed therapy for aggressive subtypes.
- De-escalation is the story: radioiodine omitted for low-risk disease (ESTIMABL2, IoN), low-dose ablation when needed (HiLo), lobectomy and active surveillance for small tumours.
- Genotype-directed therapy covers most aggressive disease: RET (selpercatinib beat multikinase inhibitors head to head), BRAF, NTRK, ALK.
- Anaplastic thyroid cancer with BRAF V600E has moved from a median survival under six months to 15 months with the doublet and longer with immunotherapy added, and neoadjuvant use enables surgery.
- Molecular classifiers on needle biopsies have halved diagnostic surgery for indeterminate nodules.
- Redifferentiation with MAPK inhibitors can restore radioiodine uptake in about half of refractory patients.
Anatomy and lymph node drainage
- Oral cavity and tongue
- Oropharynx: tonsil, base of tongue (HPV)
- Nasopharynx (EBV)
- Larynx and hypopharynx
- Parotid and other salivary glands
- Thyroid
- Nodes: level I (submandibular)
- Nodes: level II (upper jugular)
- Nodes: level III-IV (jugular)
- Nodes: level V (posterior)
- Nodes: level VI (central, thyroid)
- Nodes: retropharyngeal (nasopharynx)
Site decides cause and behaviour: HPV drives oropharyngeal cancer, EBV drives nasopharyngeal cancer, tobacco drives oral and laryngeal cancer; all drain into the neck node levels that surgeons and radiotherapists map.
- Oral cavity and tongueAnaplastic (BRAF V600E ~40%, TP53, TERT)
- Oropharynx: tonsil, base of tongue (HPV)
- Nasopharynx (EBV)
- Larynx and hypopharynx
- Parotid and other salivary glands
- ThyroidPapillary (~85%; BRAF V600E ~50%, RET/PTC fusions, RAS) · Follicular (RAS, PAX8-PPARG) · Oncocytic (Hürthle cell) · Poorly differentiated · Anaplastic (BRAF V600E ~40%, TP53, TERT) · Medullary (RET germline in MEN2 ~25%; somatic RET M918T) · Papillary microcarcinoma (≤1 cm; surveillance candidate) · Paediatric differentiated thyroid cancer (fusion-driven, often nodal, excellent survival)
- level I (submandibular)
- level II (upper jugular)
- level III-IV (jugular)
- level V (posterior)
- level VI (central, thyroid)
- retropharyngeal (nasopharynx)
Same organ: Multiple endocrine neoplasia syndromes (MEN1, MEN2, MEN4)
Preclinical models
5 cell lines, 1 mouse models and 3 repositories are listed for this cancer.
Show survival figures (1)
Averages across everyone diagnosed, often years ago. Your stage, subtype, age, fitness and the treatment you receive matter more than the average, and the numbers are improving quickly.
- ~820,000 cases per year; most are indolent papillary cancers with >98% survival.
Advanced diseaseShow Hide where advanced disease can reach, and what treats itThe sites decide which scans are done at staging and follow-up, and every site listed has a treatment approach.
Most people reading this do not have advanced disease. The map describes what can happen over the whole course of the illness, across autopsy and registry series; today's staging scans find spread earlier, and each site has treatments, from focused radiotherapy for a few spots to drugs that reach the brain.
What helpsRadioactive iodine treats spread that still takes up iodine; lenvatinib, selpercatinib (RET), dabrafenib-trametinib (BRAF) and redifferentiation for refractory disease. Neck-node spread has little effect on survival.
- Radioactive iodine (I-131)Approved
- Radioligand therapy (beta emitters)Approved
Nothing recorded yet.
Also on Nuclide: Indications.
- Cervical lymph nodesmost common
Papillary cancer spreads to neck nodes early and often, with little effect on survival.
- Lungscommon
Follicular cancer favours blood-borne spread to lung and bone.
- Bonecommon
- Brainrare
- Liverrare
Thyroidectomy ± radioactive iodine; TSH suppression.
Lenvatinib; selpercatinib (RET); BRAF/MEK (anaplastic).
Ultrasound with TI-RADS; FNA only for nodules meeting size/appearance thresholds; Bethesda reporting; molecular classifier (Afirma, ThyroSeq) for indeterminate results.
Active surveillance or lobectomy; total thyroidectomy and radioiodine not indicated.
Lobectomy or total thyroidectomy; no radioiodine ablation (ESTIMABL2, IoN); modest TSH suppression then normal-range TSH.
Total thyroidectomy with therapeutic node dissection; radioiodine (1.1-3.7 GBq adjuvant; higher for known metastases) after recombinant TSH; TSH suppression.
Genotype first: selpercatinib (RET fusion), larotrectinib/entrectinib (NTRK), dabrafenib-trametinib (BRAF V600E); otherwise lenvatinib (or sorafenib); consider MAPK-inhibitor redifferentiation to restore iodine uptake.
Total thyroidectomy with central neck dissection; prophylactic thyroidectomy in RET germline carriers by codon-based age; calcitonin surveillance.
Selpercatinib first line (LIBRETTO-531); cabozantinib or vandetanib if RET-selective therapy unavailable or failed.
Rapid BRAF testing; dabrafenib-trametinib (ROAR), often with pembrolizumab, then surgery and radiation if rendered resectable.
Multimodal chemoradiation (paclitaxel-based) if feasible; lenvatinib; immunotherapy for PD-L1-high or TMB-high; NTRK/RET/ALK agents if fusion-positive; early palliative care.
Lifelong levothyroxine with risk-adapted TSH targets; calcium/PTH monitoring after surgery; salivary care after radioiodine; low-risk patients can be discharged to primary care.
Subtypes & biomarkers
top- Papillary (~85%; BRAF V600E ~50%, RET/PTC fusions, RAS)
- Follicular (RAS, PAX8-PPARG)
- Oncocytic (Hürthle cell)
- Poorly differentiated
- Anaplastic (BRAF V600E ~40%, TP53, TERT)
- Medullary (RET germline in MEN2 ~25%; somatic RET M918T)
- Papillary microcarcinoma (≤1 cm; surveillance candidate)
- Paediatric differentiated thyroid cancer (fusion-driven, often nodal, excellent survival)
- BRAF V600E
- RET fusion/mutation
- NTRK
- RAS
- TERT
- Thyroglobulin and anti-Tg antibodies (surveillance of differentiated cancer)
- Calcitonin and CEA (medullary)
- Germline RET (MEN2 screening, prophylactic thyroidectomy)
- Somatic RET fusion/mutation (selpercatinib)
- BRAF V600E (prognosis; anaplastic targeted therapy; redifferentiation)
- TERT promoter (aggressiveness)
- NTRK, ALK fusions (tumour-agnostic drugs)
- Bethesda cytology category and molecular classifier result
- Radioiodine avidity on diagnostic scan
How often this target appears
- 1946Radioactive iodine: first theranostic
- 1946First patient treated with radioactive iodine for metastatic thyroid cancer
Seidlin, Marinelli, and Oshry: the first theranostic.
- 1985RET proto-oncogene identified; MEN2 germline RET mutations follow (1993)
- 2003BRAF V600E found in ~45% of papillary thyroid cancers
- 2009Bethesda System for thyroid cytology standardises nodule reporting
- 2011Vandetanib: first drug for medullary thyroid cancer
- 2012HiLo and ESTIMABL1: low-dose radioiodine ablation is enough
- 2013Sorafenib approved for RAI-refractory disease (DECISION); selumetinib redifferentiation proof of concept
- 2015Lenvatinib approved (SELECT); ATA guidelines endorse active surveillance and less radioiodine
- 2018Dabrafenib-trametinib approved for BRAF V600E anaplastic thyroid cancer (ROAR); larotrectinib tumour-agnostic
- 2020Selpercatinib approved
- 2020Selpercatinib and pralsetinib: RET-selective inhibitors approved
- 2022ESTIMABL2: no radioiodine for low-risk disease; ASTRA adjuvant redifferentiation negative
- 2023LIBRETTO-531: selpercatinib beats cabozantinib/vandetanib in medullary cancer
- 2025IoN confirms omission of radioiodine in low-risk disease (Lancet)
- 2026Selpercatinib label update (July 2026)
Dated changes read from the records linked to this indication: approvals, regulatory steps, reported trials, guideline versions and milestones. Newest first; no date is inferred.
All 31 changes by month →- 2026-09-04This recordThyroid cancerFacts on this page last checked
When this page itself was last checked or edited.
- 2026MilestoneThyroid cancerSelpercatinib label update (July 2026)
A milestone in how this cancer is treated.
- 2025Trial resultIoNIoN reported
5-year recurrence-free ~98% (no RAI) vs ~96% (RAI).
- 2025MilestoneIoNIoN confirms omission of radioiodine in low-risk disease (Lancet)
A milestone in how this cancer is treated.
- 2023MilestoneThyroid cancerLIBRETTO-531: selpercatinib beats cabozantinib/vandetanib in medullary cancer
A milestone in how this cancer is treated.
- 2022ApprovalDonafenibDonafenib approved in China
Radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer
What is in development for Thyroid cancer, drawn from the whole corpus: 11 items. Drugs are grouped by the most advanced trial phase they have reached anywhere; approved treatments sit under standard of care. Technologies are the methods being tested for this cancer, trials are the studies recorded here, and ideas are proposals not yet in a trial.
Drugs in phase 3 · 1
Technologies being tested · 1
Trials under way · 3
- A Study of AL2846 Capsule Versus Placebo in the Treatment of Advanced Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma · phase 3 · Chia Tai Tianqing Pharmaceutical
- A Study of Cabozantinib Compared With Placebo in Subjects With Radioiodine-refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Who Have Progressed After Prior Va · phase 3 · Exelixis
- Study of ST-1898 in Locally Advanced or Metastatic Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer · phase 2 · Beijing Scitech-Mq Pharmaceuticals Limited
Trials reported · 6
Open problems and what is being done
Overdiagnosis of microcarcinoma.
Anaplastic thyroid cancer: BRAF V600E cases now respond to dabrafenib-trametinib, often enough to allow surgery; the 60% without the mutation still have few options.
Overdiagnosis: incidence has tripled with no change in mortality; most detected cancers would never have caused harm, yet surveillance uptake outside Japan and Korea remains low.
Anaplastic thyroid cancer without BRAF V600E (about 60%) still has a median survival of a few months.
Resistance to RET-selective inhibitors via solvent-front (G810) mutations has no approved next-generation drug.
What is being done about thisResistance to treatmentAvailable now- CabozantinibApproved
In trials- A Study of AL2846 Capsule Versus Placebo in the Treatment of Advanced Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid CarcinomaRecruiting
- A Study of Cabozantinib Compared With Placebo in Subjects With Radioiodine-refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Who Have Progressed After Prior VaActive
- Study of ST-1898 in Locally Advanced or Metastatic Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid CancerRecruiting
Ideas and roadmapsNothing recorded yet.
Also on Nuclide: Open problems.
Multikinase inhibitors for RAI-refractory disease cause hypertension, weight loss, and fatigue; most patients need dose reductions and quality of life suffers.
What is being done about thisResistance to treatmentAvailable now- CabozantinibApproved
In trials- A Study of AL2846 Capsule Versus Placebo in the Treatment of Advanced Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid CarcinomaRecruiting
- A Study of Cabozantinib Compared With Placebo in Subjects With Radioiodine-refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Who Have Progressed After Prior VaActive
- Study of ST-1898 in Locally Advanced or Metastatic Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid CancerRecruiting
Ideas and roadmapsNothing recorded yet.
Also on Nuclide: Open problems.
No validated way to predict which low-risk patients will be the rare ones to recur, so follow-up intensity is uniform.
Redifferentiation works in about half of refractory patients but predictors and optimal regimens are undefined.
What is being done about thisResistance to treatmentAvailable now- CabozantinibApproved
In trials- A Study of AL2846 Capsule Versus Placebo in the Treatment of Advanced Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid CarcinomaRecruiting
- A Study of Cabozantinib Compared With Placebo in Subjects With Radioiodine-refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Who Have Progressed After Prior VaActive
- Study of ST-1898 in Locally Advanced or Metastatic Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid CancerRecruiting
Ideas and roadmapsNothing recorded yet.
Also on Nuclide: Open problems.
Paediatric and radiation-induced thyroid cancers (Chernobyl, Fukushima cohorts) have distinct fusion-driven biology that is under-studied.
Hereditary MEN2 requires lifelong surveillance and prophylactic surgery in children; long-term outcomes of RET-selective therapy in this group are unknown.
Trials
topTrials recruiting now
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Landmark trials
Direct links plus the targets, companies, and technologies of this cancer's products.
isotopes
3technologies
4targets
3drugs
7companies
5institutions
3terms
2trials
9roadmaps
1Latest papers
topQuery for this indication: (TITLE:"Thyroid cancer" OR ABSTRACT:"Thyroid cancer") AND (treatment OR therapy OR trial OR survival OR diagnosis). Results are unfiltered search hits about Thyroid cancer, not a curated reading list.
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